Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.028478 0.031259 0.034000 0.036900 0.039875 0.042835 0.045997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.023711 0.028256 0.032846 0.037801 0.042976 0.048202 0.053859
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.020014 0.025734 0.031634 0.038108 0.044960 0.051954 0.059594
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.016562 0.023077 0.029941 0.037589 0.045778 0.054213 0.063496
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.013797 0.020903 0.028549 0.037189 0.046535 0.056235 0.066973
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.011285 0.018800 0.027073 0.036552 0.046908 0.057729 0.069772
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009343 0.017191 0.026027 0.036283 0.047583 0.059460 0.072737
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.008037 0.016224 0.025626 0.036657 0.048892 0.061811 0.076299
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006250 0.014519 0.024291 0.035916 0.048920 0.062727 0.078274
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005024 0.013410 0.023583 0.035828 0.049618 0.064326 0.080937
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003814 0.012195 0.022684 0.035474 0.049982 0.065524 0.083132
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002704 0.010973 0.021716 0.034995 0.050168 0.066495 0.085049
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001266 0.009054 0.019928 0.033675 0.049562 0.066770 0.086414
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000777 0.008596 0.019992 0.034561 0.051487 0.069877 0.090912
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000262 0.007814 0.019587 0.034860 0.052725 0.072208 0.094547
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006620 0.018552 0.034357 0.053008 0.073450 0.096963
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005589 0.017652 0.033968 0.053388 0.074768 0.099429
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004523 0.016604 0.033350 0.053468 0.075722 0.101468
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003729 0.015874 0.033089 0.053933 0.077081 0.103927
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003298 0.015659 0.033452 0.055107 0.079217 0.107220
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002423 0.014622 0.032733 0.054986 0.079875 0.108864
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001901 0.014099 0.032647 0.055591 0.081335 0.111374
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001340 0.013402 0.032304 0.055872 0.082410 0.113442